Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), and CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he is one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data and charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, and author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' and 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - & author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm...one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, MacroBusiness.

Tuesday, 14 June 2016

Vacancy rates remain tight

Vacancies remain tight nationally

SQM Research reported that nationally vacancy rates remain tight at 2.4 per cent, or a total of 72,024 vacancies.

In Sydney rental vacancy rates have tightened over the past year from 1.8 per cent to 1.6 per cent, although some areas have looming tower blocks to absorb, perhaps most notably Parramatta. 

In Melbourne vacancy rates have tightened from 2.4 per cent to 1.9 per cent over the past year, defying predictions of an oversupply with population growth positively steaming along in the Victorian capital.

Canberra has seen rental vacancy rates tighten sharply of late to just 1.1 per cent in May, while the biggest monthly tightening was seen in Darwin, where vacancy rates dipped from 3.4 per cent to 2.9 per cent.

Brisbane saw vacancy rates tighten a notch in May from 2.8 per cent to 2.7 per cent.

Perth hasn't turned the corner yet on this metric - despite building approvals having experienced a long, sweeping downtrend - notching the highest vacancy rate in May of 4.7 per cent (up from 3.4 per cent a year ago).

Hobart has comfortably been the tightest capital city rental market, notching up five months on the bounce at under 1 per cent.


Smoothed...

Monthly data is always prone to jump around a bit, but smoothing the figures on a 4mMA basis below shows which markets are faring best, and which are struggling.

After a decade of stagnation, Hobart is now an ultra-tight rental market and rents have been rising accordingly.

Meanwhile Perth is experiencing the opposite dynamic, with median house asking rents down by 9.6 per cent from one year ago. 

Asking rents for houses are also down year-on-year in Darwin by 10.4 per cent.


SQM Research records median asking rents for apartments as having increased over the past year in Sydney (+5.4 per cent) and Melbourne (+3.8 per cent). 

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