Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), & CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he's one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written, yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' & 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, 'MacroBusiness'.

Tuesday, 7 March 2017

Stock levels still down over the year

Listings picking up

Stock listings picked up strongly in February, particularly in Canberra, Sydney, and Melbourne, following the usual January lull, according to SQM Research

Despite this - and before we all get too excited - listings nationally were still 5.1 per cent lower than a year ago at 336,604, down from 354,633 in February 2016.

Indeed, listings remain lower year-on-year in Hobart (-13.4 per cent), Melbourne (-9.7 per cent), Adelaide (-4.8 per cent), and Sydney (-0.7 per cent).  


Looking at the absolute number of listings by capital city, we can see that listings in Sydney remain low, with the Greater Sydney population now surpassing 5 million. 

In many respects Hobart is the tightest market right now, and this is being reflected in sharply rising prices in the Tasmanian capital after a decade of stagnation. 


While some indices now show only a moderate deterioration in prices in Perth and Darwin, SQM's Asking Price Index still has prices distinctly lower year-on-year in both of these cities. 

In Darwin's case stock on market seems to have stabilised, but it still feels as though Perth has a tough period to work through on many metrics. 

Elsewhere there has been a veritable tsunami of media opinion and suggestions about 'the housing market' and what should be done, ranging from the quite sensible to the bizarre.