Pete Wargent blogspot

Co-founder & CEO of AllenWargent property buyer's agents, offices in Brisbane (Riverside) & Sydney (Martin Place), & CEO of WargentAdvisory (providing subscription analysis, reports & services to institutional clients).

5 x finance/investment author - 'Get a Financial Grip: a simple plan for financial freedom’ (2012) rated Top 10 finance books by Money Magazine & Dymocks.

"Unfortunately so much commentary is self-serving or sensationalist. Pete Wargent shines through with his clear, sober & dispassionate analysis of the housing market, which is so valuable. Pete drills into the facts & unlocks the details that others gloss over in their rush to get a headline. On housing Pete is a must read, must follow - he's one of the finest property analysts in Australia" - Stephen Koukoulas, MD of Market Economics, former Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

"Pete is one of Australia's brightest financial minds - a must-follow for articulate, accurate & in-depth analysis." - David Scutt, Business Insider, leading Australian market analyst.

"I've been investing for over 40 years & read nearly every investment book ever written, yet I still learned new concepts in his books. Pete Wargent is one of Australia's finest young financial commentators." - Michael Yardney, Australia's leading property expert, Amazon #1 best-selling author.

"The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate markets - Pete's work is great, loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia. If you follow Australia, follow Pete Wargent" - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, Global Macroeconomic Research, author of the New York Times bestsellers 'End Game' & 'Code Red'.

"The level of detail in Pete's work is superlative across all of Australia's housing markets" - Grant Williams, co-founder RealVision - where world class experts share their thoughts on economics & finance - author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, one of the world's most popular & widely-read financial publications.

"Wargent is a bald-faced realty foghorn" - David Llewellyn-Smith, 'MacroBusiness'.

Tuesday, 9 May 2017

Westpac mortgage profiles

Earnings season

Westpac reported cash earnings of $4.017 billion in 1H17, up 3 per cent (statutory net profit was up 6 per cent), equating to cash return on equity (ROE) of 14 per cent. 

Looking at the residential sector, mortgage delinquencies 90 days past due have increased sharply in Western Australia, while generally remaining steady elsewhere. 

Source (ASX: WBC)

APRA-defined investor loan growth was tracking at 6.4 per cent, some way under the arbitrary 10 per cent speed limit.

The results announcement and investor pack together run to hundreds of pages, but this was probably the most interesting slide, where Westpac takes a look at the profile of its interest-only loan books. 

Source: (ASX: WBC)

The slide posits that only a small percentage (2 per cent) of interest-only lending is for borrowers with less than a 20 per cent deposit and with gross income of under $100,000.

The figures do show, however, that the group has some work to do to bring the flow of new interest-only lending into line with APRA's new designated limits

Moreover, it should also be noted that 20 per cent deposits may be refinanced out of other investment properties rather than being drawn from cash savings, while gross income can include rental income, so the dynamic might not be as robust as it first appears.