Pete Wargent blogspot

CEO AllenWargent Property Buyers, & WargentAdvisory (institutional). 6 x finance author.

'Must-read, must-follow, one of the finest property analysts in Australia' - Stephen Koukoulas, ex-Senior Economics Adviser to Prime Minister Gillard.

'One of Australia's brightest financial minds, must-follow for in-depth analysis' - David Scutt, Business Insider.

"I've been investing 40 years yet I still learned new concepts; one of the finest young commentators" - Michael Yardney, Amazon #1 bestseller.

'The most knowledgeable person on Aussie real estate - loads of good data & charts, the most comprehensive analyst I follow in Australia...follow Pete Wargent' - Jonathan Tepper, Variant Perception, 2 x NYT bestseller.

'Superlative work' - Grant Williams, founder RealVision.

Friday, 21 July 2017

Kiwis trickling back to Oz

Kiwi exodus ends

Statistics New Zealand reported that net annual migration into NZ hit another record high over the year to June 2017 at +72,300. 

Annual net migration into NZ has been increasing steadily since 2012, but over the past three years has surged to record highs, despite a recent pullback in Indian student visa arrivals.

While the boom has been driven by Chinese migrants, as well as a big uplift in Brits and South Africans, the number of Australian migrants to New Zealand has now passed its peak, if only just.


Through the peak of the mining boom Kiwis were moving to Australia in droves, lured by high wages and labour shortages in the resources states.

In recent times this trend reversed as New Zealand's unemployment rate fell, and a shortage of domestic construction workers arose due to the rebuilding of Christchurch.

Through the first six months of 2017, however, Kiwis have been very steadily trickling back towards Australia, at least on a net basis. 


Temporary visa trends

At the beginning of the year I noted that there were nearly 2 million temporary visa holders in Australia, including over 677,000 New Zealanders as subclass 444 visa holders.

In particular, the number of student visa holders has been powering ahead, helping in part to explain why the feared apartment oversupply in Melbourne has failed to materialise as expected.